The Human Trajectory
The Human Trajectory
Thinking about the broad picture of where humanity has been and is going
Existential Risk
Existential Risk
What is an existential risk and what is the case for treating them as a moral priority?
Trajectory Change
Trajectory Change
Can we predictably intervene to shape the balance of possible futures?
The Effectiveness Mindset
The Effectiveness Mindset
A basic introduction to effective altruism and why it's important to prioritise when it comes to doing good
Evaluating Differences in Impact
Evaluating Differences in Impact
An introduction to some tools and approaches we can use to quantify and evaluate how much good an intervention achieves
Expanding Our Compassion
Expanding Our Compassion
Arguments to expand our moral consideration beyond our ordinary societal norms
Increasing the Accuracy of our Judgements
Increasing the Accuracy of our Judgements
Why try and improve the way we reason and what are some promising approaches to doing so?
Most Important Century Series
Most Important Century Series
A series of blog posts that argue that the 21st century could be the most important century ever for humanity
Sources Deep Dive for The Most Important Century Series
Sources Deep Dive for The Most Important Century Series
A list of sources behind the blog posts in The Most Important Century Series
Expected value and fanaticism
Expected value and fanaticism
Is maximising expected value the right approach for trying to do the most good? How should we approach tiny probabilities of doing vast amounts of good?
Cluelessness
Cluelessness
What should we do given that we can't evaluate the vast indirect effects of our actions?
Expected value of the future
Expected value of the future
Is the expected value of the future positive or negative? A crucial consideration for the value of extinction risk reduction.
Moral uncertainty
Moral uncertainty
How do we approach decision making when we lack certainty in any one moral theory?
Reward misspecification and instrumental convergence
Reward misspecification and instrumental convergence
Agent foundations or AI governance, and careers in alignment
Agent foundations or AI governance, and careers in alignment
Case studies of interventions in wild animal welfare - population control
Case studies of interventions in wild animal welfare - population control
Case studies of interventions in wild animal welfare - disease & parasites
Case studies of interventions in wild animal welfare - disease & parasites
Advances in biotechnology and a note on Information Hazards
Advances in biotechnology and a note on Information Hazards
Career Priorities and High Impact Opportunities Beyond Longtermism
Career Priorities and High Impact Opportunities Beyond Longtermism
What does the alternative protein industry currently look like, and what opportunities are there?
What does the alternative protein industry currently look like, and what opportunities are there?
What are the main technical challenges in alternative proteins?
What are the main technical challenges in alternative proteins?
What are the social and political challenges to alternative proteins?
What are the social and political challenges to alternative proteins?
AI, Machine Learning, and their Potentially Extreme Stakes
AI, Machine Learning, and their Potentially Extreme Stakes
When will transformative AI arrive?
When will transformative AI arrive?
Forecasting when transformative AI will arrive