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When will transformative AI arrive?

When will transformative AI arrive?

Key Material

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Forecasting Transformative AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI?
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Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?
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Are we "trending toward" transformative AI? (How would we know?)
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AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand
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Forecasting transformative AI: the "biological anchors" method in a nutshell

More to Explore

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Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?
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New Report on How Much Computational Power It Takes to Match the Human Brain
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What should we learn from past AI forecasts?
๐Ÿ”—
The Bitter Lesson
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The Scaling Hypothesis ยท Gwern.net

Next in the 'Why care about AI?' Sequence

Topics

The Alignment Problem
The Alignment Problem
The Alignment Problem
How can we get AI to act in accordance with our values?