Key Material馃敆Forecasting Transformative AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI?馃敆Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?馃敆Are we "trending toward" transformative AI? (How would we know?)馃敆AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand馃敆Forecasting transformative AI: the "biological anchors" method in a nutshellMore to Explore馃敆Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?馃敆New Report on How Much Computational Power It Takes to Match the Human Brain馃敆What should we learn from past AI forecasts?馃敆The Bitter Lesson馃敆The Scaling Hypothesis 路 Gwern.netNext in the 'Why care about AI?' SequenceTopicsThe Alignment ProblemThe Alignment ProblemHow can we get AI to act in accordance with our values?