Expected value of the future
Expected value of the future
Is the expected value of the future positive or negative? A crucial consideration for the value of extinction risk reduction.
Cluelessness
Cluelessness
What should we do given that we can't evaluate the vast indirect effects of our actions?
Expected value and fanaticism
Expected value and fanaticism
Is maximising expected value the right approach for trying to do the most good? How should we approach tiny probabilities of doing vast amounts of good?